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七禾網(wǎng) 時(shí)間:2023-12-26 10:53:16 來源:七禾網(wǎng)

巴菲特:一生只需做對幾次決策就可以變得富有

It& #39;s a terrible mistake to think you have to have an opinion on everything. You only have to have an opinion on a few things. 

認(rèn)為自己應(yīng)該對所有事情有看法是一個(gè)非常可怕的錯(cuò)誤想法,你只需要對幾件事有態(tài)度就夠了。 


In fact, I& #39;ve told students if when they got out of school, they got a punch card with 20 punches on it, and that& #39;s all the investment decisions they got to make in their entire life. They would get very rich because they would think very hard about each one. And you don’t need 20 right decisions to get very rich, you know four or five will probably do it over time.

事實(shí)上,我跟學(xué)生說過,假如他們離開學(xué)校,得到一張打孔卡,上面只可以打20個(gè)孔,這就是他們一生要做出的投資決定,他們會(huì)變得非常富有。因?yàn)樗麄儠?huì)認(rèn)真對待每次決策,而且變富有不需要20次全部選對,只要選對4-5次就可以實(shí)現(xiàn)了。


I don& #39;t worry too much about the things I don& #39;t understand. If you understand some of these businesses that are coming along and can spot things on, If you can spot an Amazon, for example, I mean it& #39;s a tremendous accomplishment that Jeff Bezos done and I tip my hat to him, he& #39;s a good guy too. But could I have anticipated that he would be the success and 10 others wouldn& #39;t be? I& #39;m not good enough to do that.

我不擔(dān)心我不懂的事情。如果你了解某些正在興起的企業(yè)并且能發(fā)生某些機(jī)會(huì),比如你能發(fā)現(xiàn)亞馬遜的潛力,這是杰夫·貝佐斯一項(xiàng)非常了不起的事業(yè),我向他致敬。杰夫是一個(gè)非常出色的商人,也是一個(gè)非常好的人,但問題是我怎么才能預(yù)料到他可以成功但其他10個(gè)人不會(huì)呢?我覺得我做不到。


Fortunately, I don& #39;t have to form an opinion on Amazon and I do form an opinion on the Bank of America, and I form an opinion on Coca Cola. Coca Cola has been around since 1886, there& #39;s 1.8 billion 8 ounce servings of Coca Cola products sold every day. Those are the kind of decisions I like to make. You may have an entirely different field of expertise than I would have and probably much more up the day than terms of the kind of businesses that we& #39;re seeing about. And you can get very rich if you just understand a few of them and understand their future.

幸運(yùn)的是,我不是必須要去判斷亞馬遜的好壞,但我對美國銀行、可口可樂有判斷??煽诳蓸窂?886年就成立了,每天會(huì)有18億瓶8盎司的可口可樂賣出去,這些是我樂于去決策的。您可能擁有與我完全不同的專業(yè)領(lǐng)域,可能比我了解更多詳細(xì)的,我所看不到的最新情況。同樣,如果你了解這行的某些企業(yè),并且能夠預(yù)測他們未來的某些情況,你也可以變得很富有。


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